When you examine the anatomy of Al Thornton’s offense, the numbers are pretty dramatic. As an overall jump shooter, Thornton is a 36.7% shooter and generates 0.88 points per possession. When Al finishes at the basket, he’s a 57.2% shooter, and chalks up 1.2 points per possession. Take a look at some heat charts and you’ll find that this isn’t all that unusual. What makes a player efficient, though, is his ability to get the bulk of his shots where he’s most effective.
At the 6:06 mark of the 4th period with the Clippers trailing by a point, Gordon rushes the ball upcourt. Al is wrestling for position just off the mid-right post with Jason Richardson. He calls for the ball, and Gordon feeds him. Thornton pivots and faces up Richardson before taking a decisive hard dribble with his right, bursting ahead to the rim for a slam. Did Thornton have a clear path along the baseline? Yes. Will better defensive teams than PHX give him that unfettered access to the hoop every time down? No. But what strikes you about this particular sequence is how quickly Thornton sizes up Richardson and sees the court. If Al waits another second, Stoudemire has time to come over to contest the shot. By turning four fadeaway jumpers a game into four additional dribble-drives, Al would instantly become a more valuable wing.
A few minutes later, Eric Gordon hits a couple of free throws out of a timeout to tie the game at 100 with 2:53 to play.
The essential questions for any basketball team in a given possession are [1] What do we want? [2] How do we get it?
- [4th, 2:35] For the Suns on the next possession, the answer is very easy. Within five seconds, Nash and Stoudemire get the mismatches they want: Gordon ends up on Stoudemire and Camby on Nash. Nash drives past Camby down the gut of the lane, but is met by Skinner underneath. Thornton has rotated from Hill down to Shaquille O’Neal. Nash sees his open man — Hill out on the perimeter. Fred Jones darts over to close on Hill. But the key piece here is that after he made the kick-out to Hill, Nash drifted to an open spot along the baseline at about 15 feet. Camby stays inside and never follows Nash. Hill sees that Nash is open and makes the little pass. The open 15-footer by Nash is good. PHX 102, Clippers 100
- [4th, 2:18] The fundamental problem for the Clippers right now is that they don’t have obvious answers for those questions. I mean, what do the Clippers want? The best answer is probably “a path for EJ to drive.” At any rate, the Suns have the Nash-Stoudemire S/R and the Clippers have…the patented Fred Jones/Brian Skinner S/R. The Clips initially get the mismatch, but the difference here is that Steve Nash can afford to run underneath the screen and recover. Nash cuts off Jones’ drive and forces him to pass the ball off to Marcus Camby, who’s at about 18 feet along the baseline. With :12 second left on the shot clock, Camby takes a dribble to his left to elude O’Neal and fires up an off-balanced jumper. Is this what the Clippers want?
- [4th, 2:05] I wish there was more to pick apart here. The Suns want O’Neal on the left block against Skinner and that’s what the Suns get. With his left shoulder, O’Neal backs in Skinner, draws the contact, then spins baseline to convert the easy layup before heading to the line. When Skinner hears the whistle, he must wrap up O’Neal. Shaq finishes the game 5-5 FTA. PHX 105, Clippers 100
- [4th, 1:47] What do the Clippers want and how are they going to get it? Once again, they initiate the offense with a Jones/Skinner S/R. The Suns opt to double Jones and leave Skinner open on at the top of the circle. Jones finds Skinner, who fires an open jumper with :10 on the shot clock. Where are the Clippers two primary offensive options? Gordon was in the weak side corner being guarded by Richardson. Camby steps out to give EJ a half-hearted screen, but when the action moves right, the pick never materializes as Marcus moves back into the paint to go after the rebound, for which you can’t fault him. Meanwhile, Thornton is in the other corner. Grant Hill never moves off Thornton, even when Jones penetrates in the vicinity. And there’s no reason to, because Jones is doubled, O’Neal is waiting, and Grant Hill plainly knows better.
Neither Gordon nor Thornton touch the ball on either Clippers possession.
There are two things you can take away from these sequences. One, the Clippers simply don’t have the able-bodied personnel to get good shots against smart defensive teams — and Phoenix, though they might not have the league’s best collection of individual defenders, is a smart defensive team. Second, Fred Jones and Brian Skinner initiating the action up top doesn’t challenge a defense. The goal of any offensive possession is to force the defense into making a tough decision. Do we trap Nash off the dribble and leave Amare free on the drag? If we rotate someone onto Amare, who’s going to pick up O’Neal? Won’t that leave either Richardson and/or Hill open on the arc? The Clippers certainly don’t have the Suns’ talent, but they still made things far too easy for the defense.
I don’t have any answers. Maybe that high S/R should be run with EJ and Camby. Maybe you feed Thornton in the post and lure the Phoenix bigs out of the lane [though with Brian Skinner, there's little incentive for them to follow and, besides, Thornton probably can't execute the sort of pass necessary to exploit a rotation]. Either way, the game’s two key offensive possessions need to produce something better than Camby off-balanced from 18 with :12 on the clock, and Skinner from the top of the circle with :10.


6 Responses
“I don’t have any answers. Maybe that high S/R should be run with EJ and Camby. Maybe you feed Thornton in the post and lure the Phoenix bigs out of the lane [though with Brian Skinner, there's little incentive for them to follow and, besides, Thornton probably can't execute the sort of pass necessary to exploit a rotation].”
Via Musselman’s interesting blog, an anonymous coach notes:
You folks could use use B-Diddy and Z-Bo on the floor during crunchtime.
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Even before crunchtime, I caught some of the game, and the thing that amused me is that you were getting a bunch of 20 ft jumpers from Mardy Collins, Brian Skinner, and Marcus Camby. And they weren’t outside of the offense! It’s hard to beat halfway decent teams with the roster you’ve got in uniform.
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Everyone in the league seems to have long figured out that the key to defending Thornton is to deny the drive.
And on the jumpers, Thornton seems to have Carmelo Anthony disease, where a wing player is so in love with their ability to get a jumper off against any defender that they forget that making wild gyrations to get off a shot results in a very low percentage shot.
The jumper Thornton hit with about 4 or 5 minutes to go where he faked Richardson out of his shoes was one of those. Thornton made the shot, but Mike Smith correctly noted that he’d created a very difficult shot for even the best shooter to knock down.
When I was following the Nuggets, I’d see Carmelo regularly executing these beautiful and elaborate spin moves to free himself for an utterly clear look at an 18 foot jumper. But unfortunately, after all the spinning, he’d only knock down the shot around a third of the time.
[Reply]
Posted on January 12th, 2009 at 9:03 am
Clipper fans are looking more and more like they just dont care about this season anymore
REALLY REALLY EARLY
i think the Clippers organization should do something are they are going to lose so much this early in the season (in the form of attendance …)
[Reply]
Posted on January 12th, 2009 at 11:35 am
thornton might have had a good shooting night, but he gave the game away during crunch time…..
everyone remembers the charge, but how about the shot clocl violation he had???
couldn’t have been a more crucial moment, and all he does is try to do some fancy dribbling…..only to have the shot clock run down for the turnover….
al thornton is a bonafide idiot…..definitely corey maggette part 2 in terms of basketball intelligence…..at least corey got to the line at a high rate…..
the only thing thornton does is shoot jumpers and turn the ball over during the most crucial moments of a game…..
whata fucking bonehead…..idiot has rocks for brains…
[Reply]
Posted on January 12th, 2009 at 12:35 pm
Al Thornton has the Second Highest PPG in the whole sophomore class right now. What else do some people want. The guy is young. He needs to improve in his head before he could on the court. He is either going to stay at 15-18ppg type of guy with little improvement or he is going to develop a consistent 3 point shot and be a 20 plus type of player. There are 3 things that are going to keep him away from elite status. I mentioned the first and that is he is not a threat beyond the arch. The second is he is not aware of any team mate at any time when he is holding the ball. The third is his defense. He doesn’t rotate as quick as he should and most of the time chooses bad decisions. Two of these things can be achieved by experience and proper basketball thought processing. Shooting is not a thought process, it’s a repetitive learning process that does improve with proper technique and execution. On the Kaman point, there was really very little hope for this team before we had zach. We couldn’t score the ball ever. With zach and kaman we are a serious threat. Lets at least witness 20 games before we are sending players packing, please.
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bootstrenf Reply:
January 12th, 2009 at 2:04 pm
25 is not exactly young in the nba…..
and here are the problems you list:
1.) no 3pt shot
2.) bad court vision/passing
3.) bad defense
sounds exactly like corey maggette to me…..and did corey ever improve in any of those areas???
i know that al isn’t corey, but they seem to possess strikingly similar characteristics….
if corey never changed, what makes you think al will??? he’ll be turning 26 this year…..so much for your “give the young guy a break” theory…..
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Posted on January 12th, 2009 at 1:24 pm
Al could be a good player. Remember this is his second year in the NBA. He could work on does three problems mention before. Now if he does not improve drop him.
[Reply]
Posted on January 12th, 2009 at 2:49 pm
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