Los Angeles Clippers (42-23) @ San Antonio Spurs (56-10)
5:30 p.m. PST
March 15, 2016
Fox Prime Ticket
1. Will this year’s iteration Spurs team go down as the greatest to not win a championship
JD Evans: No, because this year’s version of the Warriors will go down as the greatest team not to win a championship. Wait, where are you going? Hear me out! The Spurs’ record is only slightly worse than the Warriors, and the Spurs rest their second tier players pretty much every week. And those second tier players are going to Springfield. And it’ll just be less boring if the Spurs win.
Sareen Tavidian (@sarenetavidian): Who says that they won’t? If they do in fact lose it will be because there’s a better team in front of them that they could not match up well with (Warriors). With that being said, it is always disappointing for the Spurs when they don’t win a title as that is the only standard in San Antonio.
Aaron Williams (@aaronsmarter): Probably. Which is a darn shame. Because this Spurs team was already near legendary status for winning as much as they have, and because the Tim Duncan era is slowly coming to a close in San Antonio. I may actually cry – I LOVED the Big Fundamental.
2. What’s more worrisome the Clippers’ record against +.600 teams or their record on their home floor?
Evans: The record against better teams. More statsy stats tell a different story for the Clippers at Staples: offensively they’re pretty much identical at home and on the road, but at home they have a much better plus minus. So that’s an anomaly rather than a problem. Is the other one really a problem? Toronto aside, the teams above .600 are truly great teams, and this year, at least, the Clips are just below that level. It’s no surprise, and might improve with Blake back.
Tavidian: At this point, their record against the top teams in the NBA. They’re going to have to win on the road in the playoffs. They will have show that they have that ability, but they are also going to have to beat the better teams on the road and at home. So far they have not met the expectations of their fans. Hopefully that will change.
Williams: You know what’s weird? I’m not worried either way. The Clippers that we have been seeing for past two months are the Clippers without Blake Griffin, which is to say that they are not the Clippers at all. Before that, the roster was constantly in flux, which no decent option at the 3 spot that Doc trusted enough to leave on the floor for extended minutes. Now they have a small forward
who played for Doc in Boston – I mean, who Doc trusts, so the roster will have the continuity to really get going in the Playoffs.
3. If you were a betting man, what odds do you give the Clippers to snap the Spurs 41-game winning streak at home?
Evans: I’m not, so I don’t speak bet-ese. In statistical terms, the probably of their winning is about 0.1. Unless Pop decides to sit everyone, which has a probability of about 0.2, in which case the Clips winning chances go up to 0.6. So about 0.22. And even that’s too high.
Tavidian: They have done it before and they could do it again, but I would not bet on it. Spurs have been unstoppable at home and as a betting woman I would not bet against a hot team like the Spurs. But I’ve also seen weirder things happen (Derrick Fisher’s 0.4s shot).
Williams: I’m terrible at math, probability, and odds, which is why I DON’T gamble. I’ll say this, considering how this team has played against the OKCs, Cavaliers, and Golden States of the league, they have much less than half of Olaf the Snowman’s chance you-know-where. It should be a fun game, so that spunky carrot-nosed doofus will probably die with a smile on his face, as befits his lovable personality. Hey, is it too late to switch mascots?