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Archive for the ‘2009 NBA Draft’ Category

Blake Griffin Workout Roundup

Posted by Kevin Arnovitz On June - 7 - 2009

The Clippers took the opportunity Saturday afternoon to showcase presumptive #1 pick Blake Griffin in what was, by all accounts, a well-produced, unusually public workout for the national media and season ticket holders. The numerous published reports produced three conclusions:

  • The Clippers are virtually certain to select Griffin.
  • Griffin is congenial and charming.
  • Griffin’s reach is about seven feet and his current shooting range is about…seven feet.

Impressions of Griffin and the workout from around the web:

Kelly Dwyer, Ball Don’t Lie:

Workouts like these just don’t take place. I was at Yao Ming’s single stateside workout for prospective teams back in 2002, and while the overall crowd was a little larger (no fans, but twice as much press alongside about 20 team representatives and staff), the tone was decidedly different. It just felt … proper. I don’t know how to describe Griffin’s turn (nobody was exploiting him, it wasn’t inappropriate, really, and it wasn’t too embarrassing), but it felt nothing like Yao’s workout.

Griffin himself was just what you’d expect. Essentially working 1-on-0 around 6-11 Clippers assistant coach Kim Hughes, he was solid on either block with either hand, going over either shoulder. Plenty of hops to spare, his head was right at the rim on several dunks, while he looked right at 6-9 in shoes.

He’ll have issues with his jump shot, which isn’t anywhere near Carlos Boozer’s at this point. He falls backwards on his release, and moves as he comes down, which means the ball is always fading away with a poor rotation. It also showed on his free throws, where he missed more than he made. Still, these are simple mechanics that will be taken care of within a year, probably. Jump straight up, land in the same place. Typical big man stuff.

I’m not ready to declare him a borderline All-Star in his second year, a la Kevin Durant, but he’ll be right there eventually. This guy is going to be fantastic. With his frame, he reminds me of a Terry Cummings with hops, and that description should excite Clipper fans, even without taking into consideration TC’s time in Los Angeles.

Steve Perrin, Clips Nation (and here)

His physique and athleticism are mind boggling.  There are precious few humans who can get that much body that high in the air.  His jump shot, on the other hand, was incredibly ineffective today.  In a one-on-zero drill, there are plenty of 40 something schlubs playing pick up ball at the local gym who would make more shots.  And it’s not just that the ball wasn’t going into the hoop.  He’s got a hitch in his free throw stroke, he shoots his jumper on the way down, and he tends to jump backwards.  All of this can be fixed – but the fact is that it’s a little broken right now…

From BG’s presser I can tell that he’s an impressive 20 year old.  He stood there, with 30 microphones and cameras in his face, after a workout where he was clearly disappointed with how he shot, and he answered questions calmly and clearly.  He seems genuinely excited about the prospect of moving to the big city – the differences between Oklahoma and LA came up more than once, in a completely positive light.

Ken Berger, CBS Sports:

Griffin, the consensus college player of the year, showed off his speed, agility, and frightening athleticism in an hour-long workout for the team that already has proclaimed it will select him with the No. 1 pick in this month’s draft. He also displayed a shaky mid-range jumper, balky stroke from the free-throw line, and maybe a little bit of nerves. Once he got past the initial jitters, Griffin said it was an environment he could handle.

“I’m not used to guys bringing me towels in between drills,” Griffin said. “That was kind of nice.”

Mike Dunleavy, the Clippers’ coach and GM who’s decided to stake his reputation on Griffin, raved about his character, athleticism, and ball-handling. Griffin’s jumper? Eh.

“There’s some things with his shot that he has to work on, and he will,” Dunleavy said. “But he shoots the ball well enough from mid-range that you have to guard him.”

On film and in live games, that may have been true. But in this workout, Griffin — by his own admission — shot the ball poorly with nobody guarding him. Dunleavy isn’t concerned, because he picked something up right away that a jump-shooting amateur like myself easily missed: If Griffin bobbles the ball on the catch, his first reaction is to lean his head back when he goes up with the shot. The result was what the 100 or so observers witnessed for most of the workout — short, flat jump shots. That, presumably, can be fixed.

What Griffin alone won’t fix is the combustible chemistry that exists on the team he will join in less than a month. He met Baron Davis during his visit — “Let’s get this thing rolling,” Baron told him — but seemed somewhat oblivious to the potential drama that awaits him.

“That is in the past,” Griffin said. “I’m not going to worry about what happened 10 year ago, five years ago. As long as we’re moving forward, if I’m here, that’s all I care about. I think we will.”

Dunleavy said other teams have been put on notice that he’s not interested in trading the pick, putting the percentage chance he’ll use it at “99.9 percent.” But there are always exceptions.

Lisa Dillman, Los Angeles Times:

hese events were neatly paired to take advantage of the presence of the national media here for the NBA Finals, to show off the Clippers’ swank practice facility and to show off the national college player of the year from Oklahoma in front of 100-plus on- lookers, consisting of media, season-ticket holders and sponsors.

Usually, pre-draft workouts involving individual players are shrouded in mystery. Transparency had its benefits: Griffin displayed a quick first step, impressive athleticism, nifty ballhandling skills for a big man and an engaging, low-key sense of humor after his 63-minute session.

Of course, there’s the other side of transparency: Griffin’s misfiring jump shot. It was a byproduct, perhaps, of nerves but sure to be over-analyzed in this era of instant analysis.

The interesting thing about Griffin was that his displeasure with his shot happened to be among the first words he uttered once the cameras and tape recorders moved in to surround him.

“It felt all right. I wish I could have shot a little better,” he said. “I was a little tight out there. But overall it felt good. . . . I’d really like to just come in and fill a gap that they don’t have. They have a great cast of veterans and a great group of young guys. I think we can definitely turn it around and start winning.”

This was the first time Clippers General Manager and Coach Mike Dunleavy had seen Griffin play in person. Neil Olshey, Dunleavy’s assistant GM, had seen him four or five times in the last college season.

“There are certain things on his shot that he’ll need to work on to get better at, which he will do,” Dunleavy said. “Clearly, he shoots the ball well enough from the mid-range that he has be guarded.”

What was reinforced Saturday was that Griffin could also play small forward, another credible option after Al Thornton.

This last claim continues to baffle. Of Griffin’s last 46 FGMs at Oklahoma, one came from beyond 12 feet, a 15-foot jumper against Morgan State in the Sooners’ first round matchup. I spoke to one NBA executive last week about the Clippers’ persistent suggestions that Griffin could play small forward. “The question isn’t if he’s a 3.  The question is whether he’s a 5,” said the source.

The small forward is the most flexible position on the floor, and it’s not unusual to see coaches cheat by playing guys at the 3 who fall to one side of the fulcrum or the other. In today’s perimeter-oriented NBA game, that generally means sliding a guard over to the forward wing spot, so long as he’s not surrendering too much on the other end.  While you can’t fault Mike Dunleavy for wanting to mitigate his frontcourt logjam, wishing a problem away isn’t a blueprint for winning basketball games, to say nothing of playing a phenomenal young big man out of position when he needs to be refining his skills down on the block.

Tale of the Tape

Posted by Kevin Arnovitz On May - 29 - 2009

Blake Griffin: 6-8 1/2 without shoes, 248 pounds, 6-11 1/4 wing span.

You know who’s a lot lighter, but just as freaky? DeJuan Blair — 6-5 1/4 tall, 277 pounds, with a 7-2 wing span.

[Hat Tip: DJ]

My Cocktail Napkin Can Beat Up Your Cocktail Napkin

Posted by Kevin Arnovitz On May - 25 - 2009

We haven’t traditionally engaged in a lot of trade speculation in these parts. As such, the goal of the preceding exercise wasn’t so much to lob spitballs as it was to get a price check on the rights to sign Blake Griffin — and have a little fun with the appraisal process. Think of Blake Griffin/#1 pick as the house you own, love, and have every intention of living in until the kids are grown. If asked, “Would you sell the house?” your answer would reflexively be, “No. It’s not for sale,” which it’s not.  But what if someone were willing to overpay wildly for it?

There are some good reasons to be ecstatic over the prospect of Griffin in a Clippers’ uniform, and there are also reasons to be a little cautious. Over the next few weeks, we’ll be breaking down Griffin’s on-court assets and liabilities on both ends of the floor. Oklahoma has produced some talented basketball players over the years: Mark Price, the late Wayman Tisdale, Alvan Adams, (and Bryant Reeves, too). Barring catastrophic injury, Oklahoma City native Blake Griffin will most likely join the list, and you have to imagine that a franchise in the NBA’s smallest market — a franchise that happens to be in need of big man –  just might be willing to compensate the team holding Griffin’s rights a king’s ransom to get a hometown hero in uniform, on billboards, and out into the community. On the other hand, there’s little in Sam Presti’s history as a strategist to suggest that he’d factor in a variable like where a player happened to play his amateur ball into any transaction.

With that, let’s take a look at some of the offers the Naçión would deem acceptable for the pick, starting with Oklahoma City as the trading partner and D.J. Foster as our ceremonial GM:

OKC Receives:
Baron Davis (12.1/4yr)
LAC 2009 1st round pick (1st overall) -Blake Griffin

LAC Receives:
Earl Watson (6.6/1yr)
Jeff Green (3.5/1+1yr)
Thabo Sefolosha (2.7m/1yr)
OKC 2009 1st round pick (3rd overall)- Ricky Rubio
2010 1st round pick VIA Phoenix Suns

Why this works for LAC:

The Clippers get to dump Baron Davis and his lengthy contract, freeing up the starting spot for PG Ricky Rubio. The Clippers also get a valuable expiring contract in Earl Watson, and two young, defensive minded players in Green and Sefolosha. By dumping Baron, the Clippers guaranteed contracts would total only 15 million in two years. In addition to cap flexibility, the 2010 Suns pick is unprotected and could very well become a top 10 pick considering Phoenix’s troubles and the inevitable fire sale on the horizon. The trio of Rubio, Gordon, and Green are all under the age off 22 and Thornton, Sefolosha and Camby (if he’s not traded) could instantly become one of the better second units in basketball.

Why this works for OKC:

The Thunder get hometown kid Blake Griffin, who would immediately create tons of interest around the team and sell plenty of jerseys. The 3-4 combination of Durant and Griffin could immediately become one of the best in the league. The trade allows Russell Westbrook to move off the ball and embrace his inner Monta Ellis playing next to Baron Davis. Davis and his lengthy contract are a risk, but with Oklahoma City being pretty low on the desired free agent location totem pole, he might be one of the best players they could get. A starting 5 of Baron, Westbrook, Durant, Griffin and Krstic would most likely lead the Thunder to the playoffs- which would be a nice bargaining tool to keep Durant in OKC.

Why this might not work:

This trade would have to be done after the draft, as Memphis could actually select Rubio and ruin everything. Out of the two teams, Oklahoma City would be most likely to blink first. Sam Presti is a brilliant general manager, and using his valued cap space to take a chance on Baron doesn’t sound like something he would do.

Henry Abbott has published a caveat emptor on Rubio that’s well worth a read and serves as a reminder than any reservations we might have about Griffin’s can’t-miss potential have to be applied even more carefully to Rubio. Disclaimers aside, there’s some wisdom to a deal like this if you feel that replacing Davis with a dynamic, long-term prospect at the PG is a noble goal. Watson is a confounding player whose adjusted +/- numbers have been strong throughout his career, even though his offensive limitations drive you nuts. He’d buy Rubio a year of acclimation and begin to address some of the weak on-ball defense. Meanwhile, the Clippers could turn the page on Baron Davis, retain Camby and Kaman as chips for additional retooling, get the defensive flexibility they need with Sefolosha, move Thornton to the bench where he belongs as an energy scorer, and get another forward who can facilitate — albeit one not without weaknesses — in Jeff Green. The deal would almost certainly leave the franchise is a better place. It would also be far riskier than drafting Griffin and just tweaking around the margins.

Moving beyond Oklahoma City, Zhiv asks a daring question: Is it possible to retain Griffin, and still acquire Rubio for the long term? Zhiv turns his eyes toward Memphis:

The deal I like best right now is to try to make a trade with Memphis (one that doesn’t include the #1 pick) to get the #2 pick, so that the Clips could draft both Griffin and Rubio. It would mean giving up Kaman or Randolph, and taking back Jaric and Darko, but it would work. I’d rather take the risk with Griffin rather than adding to the deal to get Rudy Gay, and making a big time swap to end up with Gasol and Gay and Rubio while giving up Griffin and big men doesn’t make much sense to me.  And I think that Randolph is a better fit than Kaman in Memphis — let them keep Gasol.

The task of swapping bad contracts is an art, and one that good franchises manage with finesse. Memphis is a fiscally-minded franchise right now and zhiv’s deal would allow them to dump their two worst contracts. Though they’d get a bloated contract back in Randolph, he’d give them offensive production at the position where they need the most help.  I’m with zhiv on the matter of Rudy Gay who, though more talented than Al Thornton, presents some similar problems at the 3. The Clippers, meanwhile, would be trading cultural dead weight for basketball dead weight — an acceptable exchange for a team looking to clear minutes in the frontcourt, get younger, and become more defensive-minded.

Trapp has also put together some ingenious three-way deals involving Washinton that enable the Clippers to retain the #1 pick.

The Clippers will probably listen to offers for Griffin, but the most likely transactions this summer are deals that involve existing players. As Zhiv writes:

I’m approaching the trade machine by 1)looking for teams that need a PF like Randolph (Memphis, OKC, Milwaukee, Chicago); 2) teams that need a center like Kaman (OKC, Charlotte, Minnesota. Indiana, Chicago); 3) bigger deals that might involve either or both of those players, or Camby, BDavis, DJordan or Thornton. So it’s a stretch to think of deals for Griffin and the #1 pick.

In this spirit, Seth touches on a couple of deals I’d like to see, one of which involves the Chicago Bulls, the Clippers’ most likely trading partner this summer:

Trade #1: Kaman to the Bulls for Kirk Hinrich. The Bulls need a big man and Hinrich can back up Boomdizzle and Hinrich can play the SG and PG positions.

I’ll go one further than Seth: Hinrich can defend SFs, as we witnessed in the Celtics-Bulls series when he was on the floor with Derrick Rose and Ben Gordon, doing solid work on Paul Pierce. It’s not a deployment tactic you’d use every night, but Hinrich would offer the kind of flexibility defensively the Clippers desperately need on the perimeter.  If Baron disappears, Hinrich is more than capable of stepping in. In fact, he’d look great next to Eric Gordon, whose penetration would give Hinrich a boatload of spot-up opportunities. If Gordon got hurt for any extended period, Hinrich does stellar work off the ball. He’s a 40% three-point shooter, hits 44% of his 2-point jump shots, and plays with a level of grime (watch those borderline screens from Hinrich) the Clippers could use as they rebuild.

The idea that the Clippers should behave conservatively solely to escape the “only the Clippers could screw this up” rap is misguided. They’re going to be ridiculed no matter what they do, which is all the more reason they shouldn’t act out of fear. It’s more than likely that selecting and developing Blake Griffin as their power forward of the future is the best course of action — but that should be the reason the Clippers draft him.

What Would You Give Up For Griffin?

Posted by Kevin Arnovitz On May - 23 - 2009

Over the past 48 hours, I’ve heard very conflicting reports from credible sources about whether the Clippers will seriously entertain offers for the #1 pick. One source said definitively that the Clippers intend to pick and hold onto Griffin. Another said that the Clippers have been aggressive in their Blakephilia only to bolster what was a very sluggish season ticket renewal campaign. You’ve read the reports, so I’m not telling you anything new.

Blake Griffin Works Out for DraftExpress

Posted by Kevin Arnovitz On May - 22 - 2009

The workout took place on Tuesday:

Jonathan Givony writes:

Clank.

Clank.

Clank.

Clank.

Whoosh (the sound of an airball).

A nervous, uncomfortable feeling spreads around the NYAC in New York City as the projected #1 overall pick in the draft bricks shot after shot.

What is going on here?

Clearly Blake Griffin has something on his mind, beyond the minor pain he’s suffering in two of his fingers, a byproduct of a drill he did last week in which he had to complete 750 push-ups in 80 minutes.

ESPN Video

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